Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248104           2           3          56          32           7        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118356           1           1          64          31           3        C5.7
GOES Xray  =   9.86000e-07           1           0          35          55           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        1.00       55.00       36.75        6.00     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4