Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251038           3           4          68          21           4        C4.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127155           2           1          62          30           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   9.57000e-07           1           0          41          48          10        M1.1
est. ISN   =       124.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.50        1.25       55.75       35.00        6.50     C7.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2