Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253982           1           4          68          26           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133134           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.99000e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =       142.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       57.25       35.75        5.25     C7.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3