Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00256128           1           3          63          32           1        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00135429           1           2          58          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.70000e-07           1           0          36          52          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =       117.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.50       52.25       39.50        6.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2