Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254039           1           4          68          27           0        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00131427           1           0          62          33           4        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   9.07000e-07           1           0          47          45           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =       116.000           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             0.75        1.00       56.75       37.00        4.50     C7.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5