Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214152          33          50          14           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000691885          23          54          19           4           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.34000e-07           7          62          30           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            28.50       51.50       18.00        2.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.0