Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213403          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000685776          25          52          19           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.29000e-07           6          61          32           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.25       56.25       19.25        2.25        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8