Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213076          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000668131          28          61           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   1.19000e-07           8          57          34           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            19.25       57.75       20.25        2.75        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.8