Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218602          18          51          30           1           0        B5.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000755021          18          42          31           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.20000e-07           2          43          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                            10.50       40.25       43.00        5.50        0.75     B9.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1