Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224512           5          51          39           5           0        B7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854789           7          49          37           7           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   3.33000e-07           4           8          73          15           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.25       36.00       50.25        8.00        0.50     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8