Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233653           4          13          62          18           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103626           2          12          64          14           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   4.76000e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             2.50        7.50       65.50       20.50        4.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7