Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221701           5          47          41           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819981           7          45          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   3.24000e-07           4          10          72          14           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             4.25       27.75       53.00       14.25        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7