Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219353          11          44          40           5           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000801509          13          47          34           6           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.48000e-07           4          38          50           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       73.0000           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             7.25       33.75       44.50       13.50        1.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8