Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227660           3          34          52          11           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907407           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   4.70000e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             2.25       16.00       59.00       20.50        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.4