Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229983           1          21          58          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954532           2          15          54          26           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.14000e-07           2           0          63          33           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.25        9.00       60.50       26.00        3.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2