Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230588           3          18          59          17           3        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000974609           3          17          56          20           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.59000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.75       13.25       63.50       18.25        2.25     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6