Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226063           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915574           3          24          52          18           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   3.39000e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.25       18.00       61.50       16.25        1.00     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3