Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226070           4          35          48          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000906005           3          30          48          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.67000e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.00       23.50       59.00       13.00        1.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3