Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242822           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108492           2           4          73          18           3        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   8.90000e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.75        2.50       63.00       29.50        4.25     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7