Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234986           5          10          58          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103896           3          12          61          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   7.45000e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =       114.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             2.25        5.50       55.00       31.00        6.25     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      X1.6