Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235784           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107461           2           4          72          19           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   6.62000e-07           1           0          60          32           7        C8.4
est. ISN   =       108.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.50        4.50       62.00       27.00        5.00     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1