Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236535           2          14          57          22           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108216           2           4          73          18           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   7.07000e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.50        4.75       61.50       27.00        5.25     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7