Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228859           2          24          64           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946416           1          17          56          23           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.80000e-07           1           0          68          29           2        C6.5
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.00       13.25       61.25       21.50        2.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1