Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231693           3          15          59          20           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101229           2          12          68          16           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   5.30000e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.00        9.00       62.75       23.50        2.75     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1