Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228229           3          32          57           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938070           1          19          52          25           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.09000e-07           2           0          66          31           1        C5.7
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       17.25       59.50       20.50        1.25     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3