Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226508           3          37          46          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000919133           3          22          53          19           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.31000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.00       20.00       60.00       16.75        1.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1