Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227321           3          30          54          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894055           2          34          49          13           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.81000e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.75       19.00       57.75       19.25        1.25     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2