Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226299           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889644           2          34          50          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.64000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.25       19.50       60.50       17.00        0.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6