Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230604           3          18          60          16           3        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000931711           1          22          51          24           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.66000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =       73.0000           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25       11.50       59.00       25.00        3.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0