Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242808           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108043           2           3          75          17           3        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.06000e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =       111.000           1           0          56          35           8        C8.3
 
together                             0.75        1.00       56.25       34.75        7.25     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.6