Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245941           1           3          57          37           2        C6.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111956           2           5          62          29           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.03000e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =       122.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        2.25       50.25       41.50        5.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0