Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224277           4          51          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000920537           2          21          53          21           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.80000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       23.00       60.00       13.75        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8