Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223040           6          50          37           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867984           4          39          48           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.08000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.00       34.00       51.75        9.75        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4