Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218334          18          51          30           1           0        B4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000781113          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.96000e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            11.75       44.25       39.50        4.50        0.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5