Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234824           5           9          59          24           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000966871           3          18          54          21           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.93000e-07           1           0          33          56          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.00       11.00       51.75       29.75        4.50     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)