Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235311           4          12          58          22           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970292           3          18          53          21           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   9.92000e-07           1           0          34          55          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.00       13.25       51.75       26.75        5.25     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      M4.3