Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233191           2          15          63          17           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907524           3          29          49          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.11000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.75       14.50       49.00       28.00        5.75     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1