Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233637           4          13          62          19           2        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000919982           2          22          52          21           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.13000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.00        8.75       53.50       29.75        6.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1