Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238910           2           4          68          20           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970686           3          17          54          21           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.65000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.75        5.25       55.50       30.00        7.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      X2.0