Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247764           1           2          53          37           7        C8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105583           3           4          64          20           9        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   2.33000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        2.75       49.00       38.00        8.75     C8.8
 
realized                                                                                      X2.0