Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00210509          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000641823          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.81000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       61.0000           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                            19.75       33.50       37.00        9.25        0.50     B7.9
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2