Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231388           3          16          61          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000963431           3          17          54          22           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.08000e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.75       10.25       59.00       24.75        4.25     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      M5.4