Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232165           3          15          59          21           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987726           3          14          58          20           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.22000e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        8.50       56.50       27.75        5.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      X1.6