Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232129           3          15          58          22           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000997140           2          13          61          20           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   6.88000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =       58.0000           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.25       11.50       60.25       22.75        3.25     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4