Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248070           1           3          55          34           7        C7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121960           1           3          63          30           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   8.28000e-07           1           0          54          36           9        C8.3
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             0.50        3.00       60.25       31.00        5.25     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4