Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250791           3           3          69          21           4        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128350           1           0          66          29           4        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   7.52000e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.9
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.50        2.50       63.25       28.50        4.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5