Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252119           2           4          66          25           3        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128695           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.71000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.25        4.75       62.50       27.75        3.75     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.6