Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252531           2           5          66          24           3        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128534           1           0          63          32           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.45000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.25        6.25       61.00       27.25        4.25     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1