Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251785           2           4          64          27           3        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00131019           1           0          63          32           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   7.96000e-07           1           0          52          39           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00        2.00       61.25       31.00        4.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7