Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247392           1           4          51          39           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126755           2           2          63          28           5        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   7.16000e-07           1           0          55          35           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.25        1.75       58.50       32.75        5.75     C6.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1